What changed?

Gui SantosF · GSWProbably real

32 games since Jan 26 vs the 36 games before

Santos's 3-point rate is down 20 points over his 32 games since Jan 26 (44% vs 64%). The likely reason: Jimmy Butler (31 MPG before) missed all 35 games, plus 1 more key player out. Also the starting role change: he started 27 of 32 games, up from 3 of 36. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Teammate outJimmy Butler (31 MPG before) missed all 35 games, plus 1 more key player out
• Starting roleHe started 27 of 32 games, up from 3 of 36
• New teammateKristaps Porzingis joined the rotation on Feb 19 and played 23.7 MPG

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Tari EasonF · HOUPartly real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 35 games before

Eason's TS% is down 12.2 points over his last 25 games of the season (44.1% vs 56.3%). Most of it is shot-making: his TS% was 14.4 points below what his shot spots predict (0.6 points below before). Partly real: about 55% should hold.

• Shot-makingHis TS% was 14.4 points below what his shot spots predict (0.6 points below before) (about 100% of the change)

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Jalen WilsonF · BKNPartly real

12 games since Mar 10 vs the 42 games before

Wilson's 3-point rate is down 24 points over his 12 games since Mar 10 (40% vs 63%). The likely reason: Michael Porter Jr. (33 MPG before) played only 1 of 18 games, plus 2 more key players out. Also a new teammate: Malachi Smith joined the rotation on Mar 14 and played 23.9 MPG. Partly real: about 55% should hold.

• Teammate outMichael Porter Jr. (33 MPG before) played only 1 of 18 games, plus 2 more key players out
• New teammateMalachi Smith joined the rotation on Mar 14 and played 23.9 MPG

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Justin EdwardsF · PHIProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 38 games before

Edwards's 3-point rate is down 19 points over his last 25 games of the season (47% vs 66%). The likely reason: Joel Embiid (31 MPG before) played only 7 of 30 games, plus 1 more key player out. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Teammate outJoel Embiid (31 MPG before) played only 7 of 30 games, plus 1 more key player out

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Naz ReidF-C · MINProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 52 games before

Reid's TS% is down 10.2 points over his last 25 games of the season (49.5% vs 59.7%). Most of it is shot-making: his TS% was 6.1 points below what his shot spots predict (4.3 points above before), after Ayo Dosunmu joined the rotation. Probably real: about 60% should hold.

• Shot-makingHis TS% was 6.1 points below what his shot spots predict (4.3 points above before) (about 100% of the change)
• New teammateAyo Dosunmu joined the rotation on Feb 8 and played 28.9 MPG

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Bennedict MathurinG-F · LACProbably real

26 games with LAC vs the 28 games before

Mathurin's 3-point rate is down 18 points over his 26 games with LAC (26% vs 44%). The likely reason: he moved from IND to LAC (first game Feb 10). Also the starting role change: he started 1 of 26 games, down from 24 of 28. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• New teamHe moved from IND to LAC (first game Feb 10)
• Starting roleHe started 1 of 26 games, down from 24 of 28

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Jalen WilsonF · BKNPartly real

12 games since Mar 10 vs the 42 games before

Wilson's above-the-break 3 share is down 20 points over his 12 games since Mar 10 (25% vs 45%). The likely reason: Michael Porter Jr. (33 MPG before) played only 1 of 18 games, plus 2 more key players out. Also a new teammate: Malachi Smith joined the rotation on Mar 14 and played 23.9 MPG. Partly real: about 55% should hold.

• Teammate outMichael Porter Jr. (33 MPG before) played only 1 of 18 games, plus 2 more key players out
• New teammateMalachi Smith joined the rotation on Mar 14 and played 23.9 MPG

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Wendell Carter Jr.F · ORLProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 53 games before

Carter Jr.'s 3-point rate is down 15 points over his last 25 games of the season (25% vs 40%). The likely reason: Franz Wagner (32 MPG before) played only 6 of 27 games, plus 1 more key player out. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Teammate outFranz Wagner (32 MPG before) played only 6 of 27 games, plus 1 more key player out

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Cade CunninghamG-F · DETPartly real

8 games since Mar 10 vs the 56 games before

Cunningham's scoring is down 10.3 points a game over his 8 games since Mar 10 (14.9 vs 25.2). Most of it is playing time: his minutes went from 35.2 to 25.3 a game. Also shot volume: his shots per 36 minutes (counting free throw trips) went from 23.0 to 17.5. Partly real: about half should hold.

• MinutesHis minutes went from 35.2 to 25.3 a game (about 69% of the change)
• Shot volumeHis shots per 36 minutes (counting free throw trips) went from 23.0 to 17.5 (about 42% of the change)

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Michael Porter Jr.F · BKNProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 27 games before

Porter Jr.'s TS% is down 7.2 points over his last 25 games of the season (55.7% vs 63.0%). Most of it is shot-making: his TS% was 2.5 points below what his shot spots predict (5.6 points above before), with Cam Thomas gone. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Shot-makingHis TS% was 2.5 points below what his shot spots predict (5.6 points above before) (about 100% of the change)
• Teammate outCam Thomas (26 MPG before) left the team

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Naji MarshallF · DALProbably real

36 games since Jan 10 vs the 38 games before

Marshall's TS% is down 7.3 points over his 36 games since Jan 10 (56.1% vs 63.4%). Most of it is shot-making: his TS% was 0.7 points below what his shot spots predict (3.7 points above before), with Anthony Davis out. Also shot diet: his short paint share of shots went from 31% to 43%. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Shot-makingHis TS% was 0.7 points below what his shot spots predict (3.7 points above before) (about 60% of the change)
• Shot dietHis short paint share of shots went from 31% to 43% (about 40% of the change)
• Teammate outAnthony Davis (31 MPG before) missed all 41 games

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Spencer JonesF · DENProbably real

19 games since Feb 4 vs the 44 games before

Jones's 3-point rate is down 16 points over his 19 games since Feb 4 (43% vs 59%). The likely reason: Peyton Watson (31 MPG before) played only 5 of 25 games, plus 1 more key player out. Also the starting role change: he started 4 of 19 games, down from 33 of 44. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• Teammate outPeyton Watson (31 MPG before) played only 5 of 25 games, plus 1 more key player out
• Starting roleHe started 4 of 19 games, down from 33 of 44

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Sam HauserF · BOSProbably real

43 games since Jan 7 vs the 35 games before

Hauser's above-the-break 3 share is down 13 points over his 43 games since Jan 7 (62% vs 76%). The likely reason: he started 42 of 43 games, up from 7 of 35. Also a new teammate: Jayson Tatum joined the rotation on Mar 6 and played 32.6 MPG. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Starting roleHe started 42 of 43 games, up from 7 of 35
• New teammateJayson Tatum joined the rotation on Mar 6 and played 32.6 MPG

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Micah PotterF · INDProbably real

27 games since Feb 10 vs the 20 games before

Potter's 3-point rate is down 15 points over his 27 games since Feb 10 (53% vs 68%). The likely reason: Bennedict Mathurin (32 MPG before) left the team, plus 2 more key players out. Also a new teammate: Kobe Brown joined the rotation on Feb 10 and played 24.8 MPG. Probably real: about 60% should hold.

• Teammate outBennedict Mathurin (32 MPG before) left the team, plus 2 more key players out
• New teammateKobe Brown joined the rotation on Feb 10 and played 24.8 MPG

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KyShawn GeorgeF · WASPartly real

8 games since Feb 5 vs the 40 games before

George's playing time is down 11.2 minutes a game over his 8 games since Feb 5 (19.6 vs 30.8). The likely reason: Jaden Hardy joined the rotation on Feb 11 and played 20.2 MPG. Partly real: about half should hold.

• New teammateJaden Hardy joined the rotation on Feb 11 and played 20.2 MPG

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Brice SensabaughF · UTAProbably real

44 games since Jan 1 vs the 30 games before

Sensabaugh's 3-point rate is down 13 points over his 44 games since Jan 1 (48% vs 61%). The likely reason: Walker Kessler (31 MPG before) missed all 50 games, plus 3 more key players out. Also a new teammate: John Konchar joined the rotation on Feb 7 and played 26.2 MPG. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Teammate outWalker Kessler (31 MPG before) missed all 50 games, plus 3 more key players out
• New teammateJohn Konchar joined the rotation on Feb 7 and played 26.2 MPG

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Trey Murphy IIIF · NOPProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 41 games before

Murphy III's TS% is down 6.4 points over his last 25 games of the season (57.3% vs 63.8%). Most of it is shot-making: his TS% was 0.7 points below what his shot spots predict (4.1 points above before), after Dejounte Murray joined the rotation. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Shot-makingHis TS% was 0.7 points below what his shot spots predict (4.1 points above before) (about 75% of the change)
• New teammateDejounte Murray joined the rotation on Feb 24 and played 27.9 MPG
• Shot dietHis rim share of shots went from 29% to 23% (about 25% of the change)

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Nikola JovicF · MIAProbably real

19 games since Jan 13 vs the 27 games before

Jovic's playing time is down 8.1 minutes a game over his 19 games since Jan 13 (12.8 vs 20.9). No clear cause shows up in our data; it could be an injury, a coaching choice or the schedule. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

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Collin Murray-BoylesF · TORProbably real

34 games since Dec 20 vs the 23 games before

Murray-Boyles's 3-point rate is down 14 points over his 34 games since Dec 20 (10% vs 24%). The likely reason: Jakob Poeltl (26 MPG before) played only 26 of 54 games. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• Teammate outJakob Poeltl (26 MPG before) played only 26 of 54 games

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GG JacksonF · MEMProbably real

32 games since Jan 26 vs the 22 games before

Jackson's 3-point rate is down 14 points over his 32 games since Jan 26 (34% vs 48%). The likely reason: Ja Morant (28 MPG before) missed all 36 games, plus 3 more key players out. Also the starting role change: he started 25 of 32 games, up from 3 of 22. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• Teammate outJa Morant (28 MPG before) missed all 36 games, plus 3 more key players out
• Starting roleHe started 25 of 32 games, up from 3 of 22
• New teammateTaylor Hendricks joined the rotation on Feb 6 and played 24.2 MPG

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Miles BridgesF · CHAProbably real

46 games since Dec 29 vs the 31 games before

Bridges's scoring is down 5.6 points a game over his 46 games since Dec 29 (14.8 vs 20.4). Much of it is playing time: his minutes went from 34.4 to 28.7 a game. Also shot volume: his shots per 36 minutes (counting free throw trips) went from 19.5 to 15.7. Probably real: about 80% should hold.

• MinutesHis minutes went from 34.4 to 28.7 a game (about 60% of the change)
• Shot volumeHis shots per 36 minutes (counting free throw trips) went from 19.5 to 15.7 (about 59% of the change)

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Naz ReidF-C · MINProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 52 games before

Reid's 3-point rate is down 13 points over his last 25 games of the season (43% vs 55%). The likely reason: Ayo Dosunmu joined the rotation on Feb 8 and played 28.9 MPG. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• New teammateAyo Dosunmu joined the rotation on Feb 8 and played 28.9 MPG

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Nicolas BatumF-G · LACProbably real

27 games since Feb 2 vs the 47 games before

Batum's playing time is down 7.1 minutes a game over his 27 games since Feb 2 (13.0 vs 20.0). The likely reason: Bennedict Mathurin joined the rotation on Feb 10 and played 28.0 MPG. Probably real: about 80% should hold.

• New teammateBennedict Mathurin joined the rotation on Feb 10 and played 28.0 MPG

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Karlo MatkovicF-C · NOPProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 37 games before

Matkovic's rim share is down 14 points over his last 25 games of the season (44% vs 58%). The likely reason: Dejounte Murray joined the rotation on Feb 24 and played 27.9 MPG. Also a teammate's absence: Jordan Poole (25 MPG before) played only 9 of 26 games. Probably real: about 60% should hold.

• New teammateDejounte Murray joined the rotation on Feb 24 and played 27.9 MPG
• Teammate outJordan Poole (25 MPG before) played only 9 of 26 games

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Luke KornetF-C · SASProbably real

31 games since Jan 28 vs the 37 games before

Kornet's playing time is down 6.9 minutes a game over his 31 games since Jan 28 (17.3 vs 24.2). Much of it is the starting role change: he started 3 of 31 games, down from 22 of 37. Probably real: about 80% should hold.

• Starting roleHe started 3 of 31 games, down from 22 of 37 (about 55% of the change)

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Giannis AntetokounmpoF · MILPartly real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 11 games before

Antetokounmpo's scoring is down 7.3 points a game over his last 25 games of the season (25.4 vs 32.6). Most of it is playing time: his minutes went from 33.5 to 26.9 a game, after Ousmane Dieng joined the rotation. Partly real: about 60% should hold.

• MinutesHis minutes went from 33.5 to 26.9 a game (about 89% of the change)
• New teammateOusmane Dieng joined the rotation on Feb 9 and played 22.3 MPG

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Harrison BarnesF · SASProbably real

38 games since Jan 13 vs the 39 games before

Barnes's playing time is down 6.6 minutes a game over his 38 games since Jan 13 (22.5 vs 29.1). Most of it is the starting role change: he started 13 of 38 games, down from 39 of 39. Probably real: about 80% should hold.

• Starting roleHe started 13 of 38 games, down from 39 of 39 (about 63% of the change)

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Matas BuzelisF · CHIProbably real

46 games since Dec 29 vs the 31 games before

Buzelis's rim share is down 12 points over his 46 games since Dec 29 (33% vs 45%). The likely reason: Coby White (29 MPG before) left the team, plus 3 more key players out. Also a new teammate: Collin Sexton joined the rotation on Feb 7 and played 25.9 MPG. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• Teammate outCoby White (29 MPG before) left the team, plus 3 more key players out
• New teammateCollin Sexton joined the rotation on Feb 7 and played 25.9 MPG

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Noah ClowneyF · BKNPartly real

9 games since Mar 9 vs the 57 games before

Clowney's playing time is down 9.4 minutes a game over his 9 games since Mar 9 (18.9 vs 28.3). The likely reason: Chaney Johnson joined the rotation on Mar 9 and played 20.1 MPG. Partly real: about 55% should hold.

• New teammateChaney Johnson joined the rotation on Mar 9 and played 20.1 MPG

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Cade CunninghamG-F · DETPartly real

8 games since Mar 10 vs the 56 games before

Cunningham's playing time is down 9.9 minutes a game over his 8 games since Mar 10 (25.3 vs 35.2). No clear cause shows up in our data; it could be an injury, a coaching choice or the schedule. Partly real: about half should hold.

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Taylor HendricksF · MEMPartly real

26 games with MEM vs the 33 games before

Hendricks's corner-3 share is down 14 points over his 26 games with MEM (19% vs 33%). The likely reason: he moved from UTA to MEM (first game Feb 6). Partly real: about 60% should hold.

• New teamHe moved from UTA to MEM (first game Feb 6)

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Zaccharie RisacherF · ATLProbably real

14 games since Mar 16 vs the 53 games before

Risacher's playing time is down 7.8 minutes a game over his 14 games since Mar 16 (16.3 vs 24.0). Much of it is the starting role change: he started 1 of 14 games, down from 45 of 53. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• Starting roleHe started 1 of 14 games, down from 45 of 53 (about 58% of the change)

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Gui SantosF · GSWProbably real

32 games since Jan 26 vs the 36 games before

Santos's above-the-break 3 share is down 11 points over his 32 games since Jan 26 (32% vs 44%). The likely reason: Jimmy Butler (31 MPG before) missed all 35 games, plus 1 more key player out. Also the starting role change: he started 27 of 32 games, up from 3 of 36. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Teammate outJimmy Butler (31 MPG before) missed all 35 games, plus 1 more key player out
• Starting roleHe started 27 of 32 games, up from 3 of 36
• New teammateKristaps Porzingis joined the rotation on Feb 19 and played 23.7 MPG

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Justin EdwardsF · PHIProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 38 games before

Edwards's above-the-break 3 share is down 12 points over his last 25 games of the season (40% vs 52%). The likely reason: Joel Embiid (31 MPG before) played only 7 of 30 games, plus 1 more key player out. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• Teammate outJoel Embiid (31 MPG before) played only 7 of 30 games, plus 1 more key player out

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Collin Murray-BoylesF · TORProbably real

34 games since Dec 20 vs the 23 games before

Murray-Boyles's above-the-break 3 share is down 13 points over his 34 games since Dec 20 (6% vs 19%). The likely reason: Jakob Poeltl (26 MPG before) played only 26 of 54 games. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• Teammate outJakob Poeltl (26 MPG before) played only 26 of 54 games

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Tristan VukcevicF · WASPartly real

22 games since Jan 9 vs the 27 games before

Vukcevic's rim share is down 14 points over his 22 games since Jan 9 (17% vs 30%). The likely reason: CJ McCollum (31 MPG before) left the team. Also a new teammate: Jaden Hardy joined the rotation on Feb 11 and played 20.9 MPG. Partly real: about 60% should hold.

• Teammate outCJ McCollum (31 MPG before) left the team
• New teammateJaden Hardy joined the rotation on Feb 11 and played 20.9 MPG

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Bennedict MathurinG-F · LACProbably real

26 games with LAC vs the 28 games before

Mathurin's above-the-break 3 share is down 12 points over his 26 games with LAC (23% vs 35%). The likely reason: he moved from IND to LAC (first game Feb 10). Also the starting role change: he started 1 of 26 games, down from 24 of 28. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• New teamHe moved from IND to LAC (first game Feb 10)
• Starting roleHe started 1 of 26 games, down from 24 of 28

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Rui HachimuraF · LALProbably real

40 games since Jan 15 vs the 28 games before

Hachimura's playing time is down 6.2 minutes a game over his 40 games since Jan 15 (25.8 vs 32.0). Most of it is the starting role change: he started 14 of 40 games, down from 27 of 28, after Luke Kennard joined the rotation. Probably real: about 75% should hold.

• Starting roleHe started 14 of 40 games, down from 27 of 28 (about 88% of the change)
• New teammateLuke Kennard joined the rotation on Feb 7 and played 23.0 MPG

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Cody WilliamsF · UTAPartly real

19 games since Mar 5 vs the 48 games before

Williams's corner-3 share is down 13 points over his 19 games since Mar 5 (10% vs 23%). The likely reason: Lauri Markkanen (34 MPG before) missed all 20 games, plus 4 more key players out. Also the starting role change: he started 19 of 19 games, up from 22 of 48. Partly real: about 60% should hold.

• Teammate outLauri Markkanen (34 MPG before) missed all 20 games, plus 4 more key players out
• Starting roleHe started 19 of 19 games, up from 22 of 48
• New teammateBez Mbeng joined the rotation on Mar 13 and played 32.9 MPG

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Al HorfordC-F · GSWProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 20 games before

Horford's 3-point rate is down 12 points over his last 25 games of the season (59% vs 71%). The likely reason: Jimmy Butler (32 MPG before) played only 4 of 43 games, plus 1 more key player out. Also a new teammate: Kristaps Porzingis joined the rotation on Feb 19 and played 23.7 MPG. Probably real: about 60% should hold.

• Teammate outJimmy Butler (32 MPG before) played only 4 of 43 games, plus 1 more key player out
• New teammateKristaps Porzingis joined the rotation on Feb 19 and played 23.7 MPG
• Starting roleHe started 12 of 25 games, up from 1 of 20

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Marvin Bagley IIIF · DALPartly real

22 games with DAL vs the 38 games before

Bagley III's rim share is down 13 points over his 22 games with DAL (56% vs 69%). The likely reason: he moved from WAS to DAL (first game Feb 7). Partly real: about 60% should hold.

• New teamHe moved from WAS to DAL (first game Feb 7)

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Mikal BridgesF · NYKProbably real

19 games since Mar 6 vs the 63 games before

Bridges's scoring is down 5.3 points a game over his 19 games since Mar 6 (10.3 vs 15.6). Much of it is playing time: his minutes went from 34.1 to 28.8 a game. Also shot volume: his shots per 36 minutes (counting free throw trips) went from 13.8 to 11.9. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• MinutesHis minutes went from 34.1 to 28.8 a game (about 46% of the change)
• Shot volumeHis shots per 36 minutes (counting free throw trips) went from 13.8 to 11.9 (about 35% of the change)
• EfficiencyHis TS% went from 59.7% to 54.3% (about 19% of the change)

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GG JacksonF · MEMPartly real

32 games since Jan 26 vs the 22 games before

Jackson's corner-3 share is down 14 points over his 32 games since Jan 26 (8% vs 22%). The likely reason: Ja Morant (28 MPG before) missed all 36 games, plus 3 more key players out. Also the starting role change: he started 25 of 32 games, up from 3 of 22. Partly real: about 55% should hold.

• Teammate outJa Morant (28 MPG before) missed all 36 games, plus 3 more key players out
• Starting roleHe started 25 of 32 games, up from 3 of 22
• New teammateTaylor Hendricks joined the rotation on Feb 6 and played 24.2 MPG

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Brandon MillerF · CHAPartly real

20 games since Mar 4 vs the 45 games before

Miller's usage is down 6.3 points over his 20 games since Mar 4 (24.1% vs 30.3%). No clear cause shows up in our data; it could be an injury, a coaching choice or the schedule. Partly real: about 60% should hold.

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Kobe BrownF · INDProbably real

27 games with IND vs the 34 games before

Brown's above-the-break 3 share is down 11 points over his 27 games with IND (28% vs 39%). The likely reason: he moved from LAC to IND (first game Feb 10). Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• New teamHe moved from LAC to IND (first game Feb 10)

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John KoncharG-F · UTAPartly real

26 games with UTA vs the 30 games before

Konchar's corner-3 share is down 13 points over his 26 games with UTA (20% vs 32%). The likely reason: he moved from MEM to UTA (first game Feb 7). Partly real: about 55% should hold.

• New teamHe moved from MEM to UTA (first game Feb 7)

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Jarred VanderbiltF · LALProbably real

20 games since Feb 20 vs the 45 games before

Vanderbilt's playing time is down 6.2 minutes a game over his 20 games since Feb 20 (13.1 vs 19.3). No clear cause shows up in our data; it could be an injury, a coaching choice or the schedule. Probably real: about 75% should hold.

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Deni AvdijaF · PORProbably real

26 games since Jan 18 vs the 40 games before

Avdija's scoring is down 4.7 points a game over his 26 games since Jan 18 (21.3 vs 26.1). Most of it is playing time: his minutes went from 35.4 to 30.2 a game, after Scoot Henderson joined the rotation. Also shooting efficiency: his TS% went from 61.2% to 57.8%. Probably real: about 75% should hold.

• MinutesHis minutes went from 35.4 to 30.2 a game (about 80% of the change)
• EfficiencyHis TS% went from 61.2% to 57.8% (about 27% of the change)
• New teammateScoot Henderson joined the rotation on Feb 6 and played 24.9 MPG

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Spencer JonesF · DENProbably real

19 games since Feb 4 vs the 44 games before

Jones's playing time is down 6.3 minutes a game over his 19 games since Feb 4 (18.2 vs 24.4). Most of it is the starting role change: he started 4 of 19 games, down from 33 of 44. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Starting roleHe started 4 of 19 games, down from 33 of 44 (about 100% of the change)

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Miles BridgesF · CHAProbably real

46 games since Dec 29 vs the 31 games before

Bridges's playing time is down 5.6 minutes a game over his 46 games since Dec 29 (28.7 vs 34.4). No clear cause shows up in our data; it could be an injury, a coaching choice or the schedule. Probably real: about 80% should hold.

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Kon KnueppelG-F · CHAProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 56 games before

Knueppel's TS% is down 5.1 points over his last 25 games of the season (59.7% vs 64.8%). Most of it is shot-making: his TS% was 3.1 points above what his shot spots predict (6.8 points above before). Also shot diet: his above-the-break 3 share of shots went from 45% to 48%. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• Shot-makingHis TS% was 3.1 points above what his shot spots predict (6.8 points above before) (about 72% of the change)
• Shot dietHis above-the-break 3 share of shots went from 45% to 48% (about 28% of the change)

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Kenrich WilliamsG-F · OKCProbably real

33 games since Jan 19 vs the 23 games before

Williams's 3-point rate is down 11 points over his 33 games since Jan 19 (40% vs 51%). The likely reason: Jalen Williams (30 MPG before) played only 9 of 39 games, plus 1 more key player out. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• Teammate outJalen Williams (30 MPG before) played only 9 of 39 games, plus 1 more key player out

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Kobe BrownF · INDProbably real

27 games with IND vs the 34 games before

Brown's 3-point rate is down 10 points over his 27 games with IND (48% vs 58%). The likely reason: he moved from LAC to IND (first game Feb 10). Probably real: about 70% should hold.

• New teamHe moved from LAC to IND (first game Feb 10)

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Naji MarshallF · DALProbably real

36 games since Jan 10 vs the 38 games before

Marshall's 3-point rate is down 10 points over his 36 games since Jan 10 (22% vs 32%). The likely reason: Anthony Davis (31 MPG before) missed all 41 games. Also a new teammate: Khris Middleton joined the rotation on Feb 10 and played 21.6 MPG. Probably real: about 75% should hold.

• Teammate outAnthony Davis (31 MPG before) missed all 41 games
• New teammateKhris Middleton joined the rotation on Feb 10 and played 21.6 MPG
• Starting roleHe started 32 of 36 games, up from 15 of 38

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Nicolas ClaxtonF-C · BKNProbably real

12 games since Mar 9 vs the 57 games before

Claxton's playing time is down 7.2 minutes a game over his 12 games since Mar 9 (21.9 vs 29.1). The likely reason: Chaney Johnson joined the rotation on Mar 9 and played 20.1 MPG. Probably real: about 60% should hold.

• New teammateChaney Johnson joined the rotation on Mar 9 and played 20.1 MPG

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Derrick Jones Jr.F-G · LACProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 25 games before

Jones Jr.'s 3-point rate is down 11 points over his last 25 games of the season (35% vs 46%). The likely reason: James Harden (36 MPG before) left the team, plus 1 more key player out. Also a new teammate: Darius Garland joined the rotation on Mar 2 and played 29.0 MPG. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• Teammate outJames Harden (36 MPG before) left the team, plus 1 more key player out
• New teammateDarius Garland joined the rotation on Mar 2 and played 29.0 MPG

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Zion WilliamsonF · NOPProbably real

37 games since Jan 13 vs the 25 games before

Williamson's usage is down 5.6 points over his 37 games since Jan 13 (23.8% vs 29.3%). The likely reason: Dejounte Murray joined the rotation on Feb 24 and played 27.9 MPG. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• New teammateDejounte Murray joined the rotation on Feb 24 and played 27.9 MPG

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Norman PowellF-G · MIAProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 33 games before

Powell's scoring is down 4.7 points a game over his last 25 games of the season (19.1 vs 23.8). Much of it is playing time: his minutes went from 30.8 to 28.0 a game. Also shooting efficiency: his TS% went from 62.8% to 58.1%. Probably real: about 75% should hold.

• MinutesHis minutes went from 30.8 to 28.0 a game (about 46% of the change)
• EfficiencyHis TS% went from 62.8% to 58.1% (about 33% of the change)
• Shot volumeHis shots per 36 minutes (counting free throw trips) went from 22.1 to 21.1 (about 21% of the change)

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Jake LaRaviaF · LALProbably real

30 games since Feb 10 vs the 52 games before

LaRavia's above-the-break 3 share is down 10 points over his 30 games since Feb 10 (14% vs 24%). No clear cause shows up in our data; it could be an injury, a coaching choice or the schedule. Probably real: about 70% should hold.

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Dean WadeF · CLEProbably real

Last 25 games of the season vs the 34 games before

Wade's 3-point rate is down 10 points over his last 25 games of the season (64% vs 75%). The likely reason: Darius Garland (30 MPG before) left the team, plus 1 more key player out. Also the starting role change: he started 25 of 25 games, up from 13 of 34. Probably real: about 65% should hold.

• Teammate outDarius Garland (30 MPG before) left the team, plus 1 more key player out
• Starting roleHe started 25 of 25 games, up from 13 of 34
• New teammateJames Harden joined the rotation on Feb 7 and played 33.8 MPG

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