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Courtside

Tue, Oct 20 · 3:00 PM ET

CelticsatPistons

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Model vs the line

Betting tools
DET win: books
96.5%
DET win: Courtside
61.6%
DET -1.5 covers
54.3%
DET win: Kalshi
50.0%
DET win: Polymarket
51.0%
Total (no model yet)
221.5

No lean on this game. Leans start once both teams have played 20 games, and then only when our number is well away from the books'. Early in the season a big gap usually means our model is behind. How leans work.

Consensus of 4 US sportsbooks, updated 10:40 AM ET. Build a parlay.

Bet it atDraftKingsFanDuelKalshiPolymarket

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Analysis, not advice. Our numbers are model estimates and can be wrong; no bet is a sure thing. 21+ and only where sports betting is legal. Set a budget you can afford to lose. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Celtics edges

No clear mismatch in Boston's favor.

Pistons edges

No clear mismatch in Detroit's favor.

Key battles

  • Detroit's offense crashes the offensive glass (3rd), but Boston's defense cleans the defensive glass (4th). Watch the rebounding.
  • Detroit's offense gets to the line (5th), but Boston's defense defends without fouling (5th). Watch the free throws.
  • Boston's offense protects the ball (1st), but Detroit's defense forces turnovers (1st). Watch the turnovers.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
BOSRankStatRankDET
121.72ndOffensive rating9th119.0
113.54thDefensive rating2nd110.8
+8.23rdNet rating3rd+8.2
94.230thPace18th98.3
55.311thEffective FG %15th54.6
10.51stTurnover %16th12.3
29.26thOffensive rebound %3rd30.9
16.729thFree throw rate5th22.3
52.34thOpponent eFG %1st51.7
11.026thForced turnover %1st14.1
75.74thDefensive rebound %14th74.2
18.95thOpponent FT rate30th25.1

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Celtics5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

Pistons6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sun, Oct 26 BOS 113, DET 119 · Wed, Nov 26 DET 114, BOS 117 · Mon, Dec 15 DET 112, BOS 105 · Mon, Jan 19 BOS 103, DET 104

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers