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Heat at Cavaliers · Sun, Nov 29 · 6:00 PM ET

Miami at Cleveland. Here is where each team has the edge.

MiamiCleveland

6:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

Cavaliers edges

No clear mismatch in Cleveland's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MIARankStatRankCLE
117.513thOffensive rating6th120.2
115.212thDefensive rating15th116.0
+2.313thNet rating9th+4.1
102.81stPace13th99.1
54.217thEffective FG %4th56.1
11.24thTurnover %9th11.7
25.417thOffensive rebound %9th26.9
21.214thFree throw rate16th20.6
54.07thOpponent eFG %14th54.3
12.217thForced turnover %13th12.5
74.98thDefensive rebound %11th74.4
19.39thOpponent FT rate17th20.9

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Cavaliers4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Mon, Nov 10 CLE 138, MIA 140 · Wed, Nov 12 CLE 130, MIA 116 · Wed, Mar 25 MIA 120, CLE 103 · Fri, Mar 27 MIA 128, CLE 149

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers