Model vs the line
- POR win: books
- 59.3%
- POR win: Courtside
- 53.5%
- POR -4.5 covers
- 39.1%
- POR win: Kalshi
- 60.0%
- POR win: Polymarket
- 60.0%
- Total (no model yet)
- 234.75
No lean on this game. Leans start once both teams have played 20 games, and then only when our number is well away from the books'. Early in the season a big gap usually means our model is behind. How leans work.
Consensus of 4 US sportsbooks, updated 10:40 AM ET. Build a parlay.
DraftKingsFanDuelKalshiPolymarket
You log in and confirm at the book or exchange yourself. Courtside never sees your account.
Analysis, not advice. Our numbers are model estimates and can be wrong; no bet is a sure thing. 21+ and only where sports betting is legal. Set a budget you can afford to lose. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
01Where the edges are
Suns edges
- On defensePhoenix's defense forces turnovers (3rd) against a Portland offense that turns it over (30th).
Trail Blazers edges
- On offensePortland's offense crashes the offensive glass (2nd) against a Phoenix defense that gives up second chances (27th).
Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.
02Tale of the tape
| PHX | Rank | Stat | Rank | POR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116.5 | 16th | Offensive rating | 21st | 115.3 |
| 115.0 | 10th | Defensive rating | 14th | 115.6 |
| +1.5 | 15th | Net rating | 19th | -0.3 |
| 96.3 | 24th | Pace | 9th | 99.8 |
| 53.7 | 19th | Effective FG % | 22nd | 53.4 |
| 12.0 | 12th | Turnover % | 30th | 14.0 |
| 28.9 | 7th | Offensive rebound % | 2nd | 31.3 |
| 17.6 | 28th | Free throw rate | 12th | 21.4 |
| 54.1 | 10th | Opponent eFG % | 10th | 54.1 |
| 13.9 | 3rd | Forced turnover % | 7th | 13.0 |
| 71.9 | 27th | Defensive rebound % | 25th | 72.7 |
| 21.7 | 22nd | Opponent FT rate | 19th | 21.5 |
Game plan
03Form and season series
Suns
- L
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
Trail Blazers
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
- L
- L
