Model vs the line
- SAS win: books
- 54.4%
- SAS win: Courtside
- 58.9%
- SAS -2.5 covers
- 49.2%
- SAS win: Kalshi
- 54.5%
- SAS win: Polymarket
- 55.0%
- Total (no model yet)
- 231
No lean on this game. Leans start once both teams have played 20 games, and then only when our number is well away from the books'. Early in the season a big gap usually means our model is behind. How leans work.
Consensus of 4 US sportsbooks, updated 10:40 AM ET. Build a parlay.
DraftKingsFanDuelKalshiPolymarket
You log in and confirm at the book or exchange yourself. Courtside never sees your account.
Analysis, not advice. Our numbers are model estimates and can be wrong; no bet is a sure thing. 21+ and only where sports betting is legal. Set a budget you can afford to lose. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
01Where the edges are
Thunder edges
- On offenseOklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd) against a San Antonio defense that rarely forces turnovers (26th).
Spurs edges
- On defenseSan Antonio's defense cleans the defensive glass (1st) against an Oklahoma City offense that rarely gets second chances (28th).
Key battles
- San Antonio's offense protects the ball (4th), but Oklahoma City's defense forces turnovers (2nd). Watch the turnovers.
- Oklahoma City's offense shoots efficiently (4th), but San Antonio's defense contests every shot (3rd). Watch the shooting.
Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.
02Tale of the tape
| OKC | Rank | Stat | Rank | SAS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119.8 | 7th | Offensive rating | 4th | 120.5 |
| 108.5 | 1st | Defensive rating | 3rd | 112.2 |
| +11.2 | 1st | Net rating | 2nd | +8.4 |
| 98.5 | 16th | Pace | 13th | 99.1 |
| 56.1 | 4th | Effective FG % | 6th | 55.9 |
| 10.8 | 2nd | Turnover % | 4th | 11.2 |
| 22.3 | 28th | Offensive rebound % | 10th | 26.2 |
| 21.3 | 13th | Free throw rate | 10th | 21.5 |
| 51.9 | 2nd | Opponent eFG % | 3rd | 52.2 |
| 14.0 | 2nd | Forced turnover % | 26th | 11.0 |
| 74.4 | 11th | Defensive rebound % | 1st | 77.3 |
| 18.4 | 3rd | Opponent FT rate | 1st | 18.0 |
Game plan
03Form and season series
Thunder
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- W
- W
Spurs
- L
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- L
